Improving Transferability of Introduced Species’ Distribution Models: New Tools to Forecast the Spread of a Highly Invasive Seaweed
Identifieur interne : 004641 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 004640; suivant : 004642Improving Transferability of Introduced Species’ Distribution Models: New Tools to Forecast the Spread of a Highly Invasive Seaweed
Auteurs : Heroen Verbruggen [Australie] ; Lennert Tyberghein [Belgique] ; Gareth S. Belton [Australie] ; Frederic Mineur [France] ; Alexander Jueterbock [Norvège] ; Galice Hoarau [Norvège] ; C. Frederico D. Gurgel [Australie] ; Olivier De Clerck [Belgique]Source :
- PLoS ONE [ 1932-6203 ] ; 2013.
Abstract
The utility of species distribution models for applications in invasion and global change biology is critically dependent on their transferability between regions or points in time, respectively. We introduce two methods that aim to improve the transferability of presence-only models: density-based occurrence thinning and performance-based predictor selection. We evaluate the effect of these methods along with the impact of the choice of model complexity and geographic background on the transferability of a species distribution model between geographic regions. Our multifactorial experiment focuses on the notorious invasive seaweed
Url:
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0068337
PubMed: 23950789
PubMed Central: 3732097
Affiliations:
- Australie, Belgique, France, Norvège
- Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur, Province de Flandre-Orientale, Région flamande, Victoria (État)
- Gand, Marseille, Melbourne
- Université de Gand, Université de Melbourne
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(État)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Tyberghein, Lennert" sort="Tyberghein, Lennert" uniqKey="Tyberghein L" first="Lennert" last="Tyberghein">Lennert Tyberghein</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff2"><addr-line>Phycology Research Group, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Belgique</country><wicri:regionArea>Phycology Research Group, Ghent University, Ghent</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université de Gand</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Gand</settlement><region>Région flamande</region><region type="district" nuts="2">Province de Flandre-Orientale</region></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff3"><addr-line>Flanders Marine Institute (VLIZ), Ostend, Belgium</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Belgique</country><wicri:regionArea>Flanders Marine Institute (VLIZ), Ostend</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Ostend</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Belton, Gareth S" sort="Belton, Gareth S" uniqKey="Belton G" first="Gareth S." last="Belton">Gareth S. Belton</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff4"><addr-line>School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>South Australia</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Mineur, Frederic" sort="Mineur, Frederic" uniqKey="Mineur F" first="Frederic" last="Mineur">Frederic Mineur</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="aff5"><addr-line>Mediterranean Institute of Oceanography (MIO), Aix-Marseille University, Marseille, France</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Mediterranean Institute of Oceanography (MIO), Aix-Marseille University, Marseille</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><region type="old region">Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur</region><settlement type="city">Marseille</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Jueterbock, Alexander" sort="Jueterbock, Alexander" uniqKey="Jueterbock A" first="Alexander" last="Jueterbock">Alexander Jueterbock</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff6"><addr-line>Marine Ecology Group, University of Nordland, Bodø, Norway</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Norvège</country><wicri:regionArea>Marine Ecology Group, University of Nordland, Bodø</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Bodø</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hoarau, Galice" sort="Hoarau, Galice" uniqKey="Hoarau G" first="Galice" last="Hoarau">Galice Hoarau</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff6"><addr-line>Marine Ecology Group, University of Nordland, Bodø, Norway</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Norvège</country><wicri:regionArea>Marine Ecology Group, University of Nordland, Bodø</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Bodø</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Gurgel, C Frederico D" sort="Gurgel, C Frederico D" uniqKey="Gurgel C" first="C. Frederico D." last="Gurgel">C. Frederico D. Gurgel</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff4"><addr-line>School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>South Australia</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff7"><addr-line>South Australia State Herbarium, Department of Environment Water and Natural Resources, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>South Australia State Herbarium, Department of Environment Water and Natural Resources, Adelaide, South Australia</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>South Australia</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff8"><addr-line>South Australia Research and Development Institute (Aquatic Sciences), Henley Beach, South Australia, Australia</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>South Australia Research and Development Institute (Aquatic Sciences), Henley Beach, South Australia</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>South Australia</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="De Clerck, Olivier" sort="De Clerck, Olivier" uniqKey="De Clerck O" first="Olivier" last="De Clerck">Olivier De Clerck</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff2"><addr-line>Phycology Research Group, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium</addr-line></nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Belgique</country><wicri:regionArea>Phycology Research Group, Ghent University, Ghent</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université de Gand</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Gand</settlement><region>Région flamande</region><region type="district" nuts="2">Province de Flandre-Orientale</region></placeName></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">PLoS ONE</title><idno type="eISSN">1932-6203</idno><imprint><date when="2013">2013</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>The utility of species distribution models for applications in invasion and global change biology is critically dependent on their transferability between regions or points in time, respectively. We introduce two methods that aim to improve the transferability of presence-only models: density-based occurrence thinning and performance-based predictor selection. We evaluate the effect of these methods along with the impact of the choice of model complexity and geographic background on the transferability of a species distribution model between geographic regions. Our multifactorial experiment focuses on the notorious invasive seaweed <named-content content-type="genus-species"><named-content content-type="genus-species"><named-content content-type="genus">Caulerpa</named-content><named-content content-type="species">cylindracea</named-content></named-content></named-content> (previously <named-content content-type="genus-species"><named-content content-type="genus">Caulerpa</named-content><italic><named-content content-type="species">racemosa</named-content></italic></named-content> var. <named-content content-type="subspecies">cylindracea</named-content>) and uses Maxent, a commonly used presence-only modeling technique. We show that model transferability is markedly improved by appropriate predictor selection, with occurrence thinning, model complexity and background choice having relatively minor effects. The data shows that, if available, occurrence records from the native and invaded regions should be combined as this leads to models with high predictive power while reducing the sensitivity to choices made in the modeling process. The inferred distribution model of <named-content content-type="genus-species"><named-content content-type="genus-species"><named-content content-type="genus">Caulerpa</named-content><named-content content-type="species">cylindracea</named-content></named-content></named-content> shows the potential for this species to further spread along the coasts of Western Europe, western Africa and the south coast of Australia.</p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Elith, J" uniqKey="Elith J">J Elith</name></author><author><name sortKey="Leathwick, Jr" uniqKey="Leathwick J">JR Leathwick</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Peterson, At" uniqKey="Peterson A">AT Peterson</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Wiens, Ja" uniqKey="Wiens J">JA Wiens</name></author><author><name sortKey="Stralberg, D" uniqKey="Stralberg D">D 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uniqKey="Belton G" first="Gareth S." last="Belton">Gareth S. Belton</name><name sortKey="Gurgel, C Frederico D" sort="Gurgel, C Frederico D" uniqKey="Gurgel C" first="C. Frederico D." last="Gurgel">C. Frederico D. Gurgel</name><name sortKey="Gurgel, C Frederico D" sort="Gurgel, C Frederico D" uniqKey="Gurgel C" first="C. Frederico D." last="Gurgel">C. Frederico D. Gurgel</name><name sortKey="Gurgel, C Frederico D" sort="Gurgel, C Frederico D" uniqKey="Gurgel C" first="C. Frederico D." last="Gurgel">C. Frederico D. Gurgel</name></country><country name="Belgique"><region name="Région flamande"><name sortKey="Tyberghein, Lennert" sort="Tyberghein, Lennert" uniqKey="Tyberghein L" first="Lennert" last="Tyberghein">Lennert Tyberghein</name></region><name sortKey="De Clerck, Olivier" sort="De Clerck, Olivier" uniqKey="De Clerck O" first="Olivier" last="De Clerck">Olivier De Clerck</name><name sortKey="Tyberghein, Lennert" sort="Tyberghein, Lennert" uniqKey="Tyberghein L" first="Lennert" last="Tyberghein">Lennert Tyberghein</name></country><country name="France"><region name="Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur"><name sortKey="Mineur, Frederic" sort="Mineur, Frederic" uniqKey="Mineur F" first="Frederic" last="Mineur">Frederic Mineur</name></region></country><country name="Norvège"><noRegion><name sortKey="Jueterbock, Alexander" sort="Jueterbock, Alexander" uniqKey="Jueterbock A" first="Alexander" last="Jueterbock">Alexander Jueterbock</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Hoarau, Galice" sort="Hoarau, Galice" uniqKey="Hoarau G" first="Galice" last="Hoarau">Galice Hoarau</name></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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